语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 82.08%1.22公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -7.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
79.58%82.02%82.24%83.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.96%85.47%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ekaterina Alexandrova (客队)
预测 17.92%5.58公平赔率
EV +4.63%
优势 +0.793%
Kelly +0.957%
增长率 +0.044%
假设最高赔率为 5.84
博彩公司预测分布
16.69%17.98%17.76%20.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.135.005.8421.74%19.51%20.00%17.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：82.08%；Ekaterina Alexandrova (客队)：17.92%。 对于“Ekaterina Alexandrova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.58。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.84，对应+4.63%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +4.63%E +0.793%K +0.957%G +0.044% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.333%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.07%E -7.20%K -67.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.89%E -8.01%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.01%EV -1.50%E -1.25%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.365%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -5.22%E -0.987%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.63%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 07:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 06:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |