Язык:Русский
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 82.08%1.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.50%
Преимущество -1.25%
Kelly -7.50%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
79.58%82.02%82.24%83.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.96%85.47%83.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Гости)
Прогноз 17.92%5.58справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.63%
Преимущество +0.793%
Kelly +0.957%
Рост +0.044%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.84
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.69%17.98%17.76%20.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.135.005.8421.74%19.51%20.00%17.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 82.08%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Гости): 17.92%. Для исхода «Ekaterina Alexandrova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.58. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.84, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.63%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.31%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.69%EV +4.63%E +0.793%K +0.957%G +0.044% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +2.12%E +0.373%K +0.452%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.333%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.10%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.07%E -7.20%K -67.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.89%E -8.01%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -1.46%E -0.265%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.01%EV -1.50%E -1.25%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.365%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.25%E -0.602%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.04%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -5.22%E -0.987%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.94%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.83%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -7.01%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -7.73%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.63%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 07:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 06:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.60%E -4.87%K -37.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.42%E -5.64%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.42%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.21%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.96%E -3.39%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.00%E -2.92%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.90%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.79%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.14%E -2.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 06:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.78%E -4.12%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.58%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |