Idioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 77.08%1.30momio equitativo
EV -0.566%
Ventaja -0.439%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%76.85%77.07%79.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.231.241.2986.21%81.38%80.65%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)
Predicción 22.92%4.36momio equitativo
EV +5.43%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.082%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.14%23.15%22.93%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.254.054.104.6030.77%24.69%24.39%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 77.08%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 22.92%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.36. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.59%E -9.13%K -66.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +5.43%E +1.18%K +1.51%G +0.082% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.897%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 07:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.897%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.897%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 07:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.45%E -0.336%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 07:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.55%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.45%EV -4.20%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.55%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.45%EV -4.20%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 06:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.19%E -4.22%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -2.88%E -2.28%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -5.57%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.19%E -4.22%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.18%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 06:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 03:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 07:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 06:41 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.15%EV -8.27%E -6.95%K -43.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.15%EV -8.27%E -6.95%K -43.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -17.49%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 06:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -17.49%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -0.566%E -0.439%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -25.51%E -7.85%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 06:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.94% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.06% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 07:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 76.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.25% | 22.9% | 2026-08-07 07:45 |
Arbitraje (6 combinaciones) +0.75%Bet Victor 1.29 (78.1%) / SportsBet 4.60 (21.9%)Ver las 6 combinaciones
| Aryna Sabalenka (Local) | Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (78.1%) | SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.9%) | +0.747% |
| Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (77.7%) | FanDuel🎯 4.50 (22.3%) | +0.259% |
| Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (77.7%) | Paddy Power🎯 4.50 (22.3%) | +0.259% |
| Bet Victor🎯 1.29 (77.7%) | Sky Bet🎯 4.50 (22.3%) | +0.259% |
| Neds🎯 1.28 (78.2%) | SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.8%) | +0.136% |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.28 (78.2%) | SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.8%) | +0.136% |