Language:English
Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)
Prediction 67.19%1.49fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Max Basing (Visit)
Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shintaro Mochizuki (Local): 67.19%; Max Basing (Visit): 32.81%. For Max Basing (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 10:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 10:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 10:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |