语言:简体中文
Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Shintaro Mochizuki (主队)
预测 67.19%1.49公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.46
博彩公司预测分布
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
Max Basing (客队)
预测 32.81%3.05公平赔率
EV +2.36%
优势 +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
增长率 +0.026%
假设最高赔率为 3.12
博彩公司预测分布
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Shintaro Mochizuki (主队)：67.19%；Max Basing (客队)：32.81%。 对于“Max Basing (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.05。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.12，对应+2.36%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 10:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 10:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 10:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |