StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing

Matchstart: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Shintaro Mochizuki (Hemma)

Prognos 67.19%1.49rättvist odds
EV -1.90%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Max Basing (Borta)

Prognos 32.81%3.05rättvist odds
EV +2.36%
Fördel +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Shintaro Mochizuki (Hemma): 67.19%; Max Basing (Borta): 32.81%. För Max Basing (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.05. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.12, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:08
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:04
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:06
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 10:07
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 09:58
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09