StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shintaro Mochizuki (Heim)

Prognose 67.19%1.49faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Max Basing (Auswärts)

Prognose 32.81%3.05faire Quote
EV +2.36%
Vorteil +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
Wachstum +0.026%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Shintaro Mochizuki (Heim): 67.19%; Max Basing (Auswärts): 32.81%. Für Max Basing (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.05. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.12 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.36%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:08
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:04
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:06
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 10:07
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 09:58
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09