A Escola das Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing

Início: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)

Previsão 67.19%1.49odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Max Basing (Visitante)

Previsão 32.81%3.05odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:08
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:04
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:02
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:06
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 10:07
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 09:58
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09