La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)
Predicción 67.19%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Max Basing (Visitante)
Predicción 32.81%3.05momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 10:04 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 10:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 10:07 |
| BetAnything | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fliff | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |