Szkoła Kursów

Shintaro Mochizuki v Max Basing

Początek: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Shintaro Mochizuki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.19%1.49kurs godziwy
EV -1.90%
Przewaga -1.30%
Kelly -4.13%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.43%67.29%67.13%69.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.86%70.92%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Max Basing (Goście)

Prognoza 32.81%3.05kurs godziwy
EV +2.36%
Przewaga +0.756%
Kelly +1.11%
Wzrost +0.026%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.36%32.71%32.87%34.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.872.903.1237.74%34.86%34.48%32.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.36%E +0.756%K +1.11%G +0.026%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +0.061%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -0.595%E -0.196%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:08
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.58%E -0.526%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 10:04
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:02
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:06
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:10
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 10:07
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.57%E -1.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -8.47%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.90%E -1.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 09:58
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-29 10:09