语言:简体中文
Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marcos Giron (主队)
预测 10.16%9.85公平赔率
EV +13.74%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.185%
假设最高赔率为 11.20
博彩公司预测分布
8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alexander Zverev (客队)
预测 89.84%1.11公平赔率
EV -2.07%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -23.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.09
博彩公司预测分布
86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marcos Giron (主队)：10.16%；Alexander Zverev (客队)：89.84%。 对于“Marcos Giron (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.85。 当时有21家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.20，对应+13.74%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 13:56 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:08 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:03 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |