StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-04 14:18 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marcos Giron (Heim)

Prognose 10.16%9.85faire Quote
EV +13.74%
Vorteil +1.23%
Kelly +1.35%
Wachstum +0.185%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Auswärts)

Prognose 89.84%1.11faire Quote
EV -2.07%
Vorteil -1.90%
Kelly -23.00%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marcos Giron (Heim): 10.16%; Alexander Zverev (Auswärts): 89.84%. Für Marcos Giron (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.85. 21 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.74%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 14:10
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:10
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 14:10
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:10
FanDuel🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Pinnacle🎯10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:05
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
ReBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
GTbets🎯9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 14:09
BetAnything🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:00
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:04
BetMGM🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:10
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 13:56
MyBookie.ag🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:09
Dabble (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:05
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 14:09
NordicBet🎯8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:10
Betsson🎯8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:10
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:08
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Everygame🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:10
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:10
theScore Bet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:08
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:09
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:03
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-04 14:10
ProphetX12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-04 14:10
Novig10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70%2.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-07-04 14:10