Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev

Начало: 2026-07-04 14:18 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (20 в анализе )

10%

90%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Marcos Giron (Хозяева)

Прогноз 10.16%9.85справедливый коэффициент

EV +13.74%

Преимущество +1.23%

Kelly +1.35%

Рост +0.185%

при максимальном коэффициенте 11.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alexander Zverev (Гости)

Прогноз 89.84%1.11справедливый коэффициент

EV -2.07%

Преимущество -1.90%

Kelly -23.00%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.09

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева ▼	Гости	Маржа	Обновлено
DraftKings	11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185%	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-04 14:10
BoyleSports	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-04 14:10
888sport	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
William Hill	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
888sport (SE)	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
SportsBet	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-04 14:10
FanDuel	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-04 14:10
Pinnacle	10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007%	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 14:10
Paddy Power	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 14:10
Sky Bet	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 14:10
Codere (IT)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 14:05
Coral	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 14:10
ReBet	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Neds	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
GTbets	9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-04 14:09
NetBet (FR)	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 14:09
BetAnything	9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-04 14:00
Fanatics	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 14:04
BetMGM	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 14:10
BetUS	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-04 13:56
MyBookie.ag	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Betway	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-04 14:09
Dabble (AU)	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (FR)	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-04 14:10
betfred_uk	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-04 14:05
Bovada	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-04 14:09
NordicBet	8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-04 14:10
Betsson	8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-04 14:10
1xBet	8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
TABtouch	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (SE)	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Casumo	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
BetRivers	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:08
Unibet (NL)	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Grosvenor	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
PlayUp	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Bally Bet	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
betPARX	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:09
ATG (SE)	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Svenska Spel	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:10
Hard Rock Bet	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:05
Betr (AU)	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 14:10
Everygame	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 13:59
Virgin Bet	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-04 14:04
PMU (FR)	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-04 14:10
TAB	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-04 14:05
LeoVegas	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-04 14:10
theScore Bet	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-04 14:10
Betclic (FR)	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-04 14:08
Caesars	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-04 14:09
Bet Victor	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-04 14:03

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	0.6%	2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	0.6%	2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	0.6%	2026-07-04 14:10
Matchbook	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%	0.9%	2026-07-04 14:10
ProphetX	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%	0.9%	2026-07-04 14:10
Novig	10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30%	1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70%	2.1%	2026-07-04 14:10
Smarkets	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%	2.7%	2026-07-04 14:10