Idioma:Español
Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marcos Giron (Local)
Predicción 10.16%9.85momio equitativo
EV +13.74%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.185%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 89.84%1.11momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -23.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marcos Giron (Local): 10.16%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 89.84%. Para Marcos Giron (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.85. 21 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 13:56 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:08 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |