The School of Odds

Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev

Matchstart: 2026-07-04 14:18 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Marcos Giron (Hemma)

Prognos 10.16%9.85rättvist odds
EV +13.74%
Fördel +1.23%
Kelly +1.35%
Tillväxt +0.185%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Borta)

Prognos 89.84%1.11rättvist odds
EV -2.07%
Fördel -1.90%
Kelly -23.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.09

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 14:10
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:10
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 14:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:10
FanDuel10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Pinnacle10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Codere (IT)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:05
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
ReBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Neds10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
GTbets9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 14:09
NetBet (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 14:09
BetAnything9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:00
Fanatics9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:04
BetMGM9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:10
BetUS9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 13:56
MyBookie.ag9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:09
Dabble (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:05
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 14:09
NordicBet8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:10
Betsson8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:10
1xBet8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:08
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:09
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:05
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Everygame8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:59
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:04
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:10
TAB8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:05
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:10
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:08
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:09
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:03
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-04 14:10
ProphetX12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-04 14:10
Novig10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70%2.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-07-04 14:10