Idioma:Português
Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Marcos Giron (Local)
Previsão 10.16%9.85odd justa
EV +13.74%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.185%
pressupondo odds máximas de 11.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Previsão 89.84%1.11odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -23.00%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marcos Giron (Local): 10.16%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 89.84%. Para Marcos Giron (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.85. 21 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.74%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 13:56 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:08 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:03 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 14:10 |