Szkoła Kursów

Marcos Giron v Alexander Zverev

Początek: 2026-07-04 14:18 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Marcos Giron (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 10.16%9.85kurs godziwy
EV +13.74%
Przewaga +1.23%
Kelly +1.35%
Wzrost +0.185%

przy maksymalnym kursie 11.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.56%10.24%10.04%13.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.009.249.0011.2014.29%10.82%11.11%8.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Zverev (Goście)

Prognoza 89.84%1.11kurs godziwy
EV -2.07%
Przewaga -1.90%
Kelly -23.00%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.09

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
86.85%89.76%89.96%91.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.42%94.34%91.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +13.74%E +1.23%K +1.35%G +0.185%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 14:10
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:10
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 14:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +6.63%E +0.632%K +0.698%G +0.046%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:10
FanDuel10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.59%E +0.352%K +0.390%G +0.014%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Pinnacle10.09I 9.91%NM 9.59%EV +2.47%E +0.245%K +0.272%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.41%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Codere (IT)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:05
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:10
ReBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Neds10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.56%E +0.156%K +0.173%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
GTbets9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +0.135%E +0.014%K +0.015%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -23.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 14:09
NetBet (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.983%E -0.101%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 14:09
BetAnything9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -1.49%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:00
Fanatics9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:04
BetMGM9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:10
BetUS9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.52%E -0.371%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 13:56
MyBookie.ag9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.06%E -0.655%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:09
Dabble (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 14:10
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:05
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.14%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 14:09
NordicBet8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:10
Betsson8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -12.26%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:10
1xBet8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -13.17%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:08
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:09
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:10
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:05
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Everygame8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:59
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:04
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:10
TAB8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:05
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:10
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:08
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.75%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 14:09
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.76%E -4.50%K -79.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:03
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-07-04 14:10
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-04 14:10
ProphetX12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-07-04 14:10
Novig10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70%2.1%2026-07-04 14:10
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-07-04 14:10