The School of OddsJiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV +6.76%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.50%
Growth +0.169%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%28.88%28.96%31.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.293.303.7035%30%30%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 71.15%1.41fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -4.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%71.12%71.04%74.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3879%76%76%72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +6.76%E +1.83%K +2.50%G +0.169% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.93%E -6.98%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.43%E +0.685%K +0.954%G +0.023% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:29 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.125%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| ReBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| GTbets | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.32%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:44 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -9.65%E -7.59%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 19:31 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Betsson | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -9.69%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -10.26%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -1.82%E -1.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.88%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -16.32%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -17.76%E -6.23%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Novig | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| ProphetX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |