Школа коэффициентов

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev

Начало: 2026-07-06 19:53 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 28.85%3.47справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.76%
Преимущество +1.83%
Kelly +2.50%
Рост +0.169%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.70%28.88%28.96%31.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.293.303.7035.09%30.39%30.30%27.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alexander Zverev (Гости)

Прогноз 71.15%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.82%
Преимущество -1.32%
Kelly -4.79%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.24%71.12%71.04%74.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.70%75.76%72.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +6.76%E +1.83%K +2.50%G +0.169%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.93%E -6.98%K -31.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:49
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.43%E +0.685%K +0.954%G +0.023%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:49
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.125%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:40
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.32%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 19:49
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:40
MyBookie.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 19:39
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
NordicBet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 19:49
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 19:39
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:44
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:49
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -9.65%E -7.59%K -35.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:50
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:31
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -9.69%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:50
DraftKings3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -10.26%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -1.82%E -1.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.88%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 19:50
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -16.32%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -17.76%E -6.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-07-06 19:50
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.7%2026-07-06 19:50