مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-07-06 19:53 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.85%3.47السعر العادل
EV +6.76%
الأفضلية +1.83%
Kelly +2.50%
النمو +0.169%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.70%28.88%28.96%31.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.293.303.7035.09%30.39%30.30%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.15%1.41السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -1.32%
Kelly -4.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.24%71.12%71.04%74.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.70%75.76%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +6.76%E +1.83%K +2.50%G +0.169%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.93%E -6.98%K -31.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:49
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.43%E +0.685%K +0.954%G +0.023%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:49
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.125%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:40
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.32%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 19:49
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:40
MyBookie.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 19:39
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
NordicBet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 19:49
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 19:39
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:44
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:49
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -9.65%E -7.59%K -35.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:50
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:31
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -9.69%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:50
DraftKings3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -10.26%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -1.82%E -1.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.88%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 19:50
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -16.32%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -17.76%E -6.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-07-06 19:50
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.7%2026-07-06 19:50