La scuola delle quote

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev

Inizio: 2026-07-06 19:53 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Casa)

Previsione 28.85%3.47quota equa
EV +6.76%
Vantaggio +1.83%
Kelly +2.50%
Crescita +0.169%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%28.88%28.96%31.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.293.303.7035.09%30.39%30.30%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.15%1.41quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -4.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.24%71.12%71.04%74.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.70%75.76%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +6.76%E +1.83%K +2.50%G +0.169%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.93%E -6.98%K -31.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:49
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.43%E +0.685%K +0.954%G +0.023%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:49
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.125%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:40
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.32%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 19:49
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:40
MyBookie.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 19:39
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
NordicBet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 19:49
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 19:39
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:44
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:49
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -9.65%E -7.59%K -35.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:50
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:31
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -9.69%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:50
DraftKings3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -10.26%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -1.82%E -1.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.88%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 19:50
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -16.32%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -17.76%E -6.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-07-06 19:50
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.7%2026-07-06 19:50