La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 28.85%3.47momio equitativo
EV +6.76%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.169%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.70%28.88%28.96%31.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.293.303.7035.09%30.39%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 71.15%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -4.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.24%71.12%71.04%74.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.70%75.76%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +6.76%E +1.83%K +2.50%G +0.169% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.93%E -6.98%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.43%E +0.685%K +0.954%G +0.023% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:29 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.125%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| ReBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| GTbets | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.32%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:44 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 19:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -9.65%E -7.59%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 19:31 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Betsson | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -9.69%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -10.26%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -1.82%E -1.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.88%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -16.32%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -17.76%E -6.23%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Novig | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |
| ProphetX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 19:50 |