Szkoła Kursów

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev

Początek: 2026-07-06 19:53 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 28.85%3.47kurs godziwy
EV +6.76%
Przewaga +1.83%
Kelly +2.50%
Wzrost +0.169%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.70%28.88%28.96%31.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.293.303.7035.09%30.39%30.30%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Zverev (Goście)

Prognoza 71.15%1.41kurs godziwy
EV -1.82%
Przewaga -1.32%
Kelly -4.79%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.24%71.12%71.04%74.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.70%75.76%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +6.76%E +1.83%K +2.50%G +0.169%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.93%E -6.98%K -31.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:49
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.88%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.058%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.43%E +0.685%K +0.954%G +0.023%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:49
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.991%E +0.283%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.125%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 19:40
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.452%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:40
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.32%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 19:49
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:40
MyBookie.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:40
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.89%E -0.557%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 19:39
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 19:40
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 19:40
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.34%E -0.996%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 19:50
NordicBet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 19:49
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 19:39
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:44
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:49
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 19:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -9.65%E -7.59%K -35.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 19:50
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 19:50
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 19:50
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 19:31
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.37%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 19:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -9.69%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -4.66%E -3.48%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:50
DraftKings3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -10.26%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -1.82%E -1.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.24%E -2.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 19:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 19:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.55%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.38%E -4.04%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.88%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.09%E -4.61%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 19:50
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -16.32%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.93%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -17.76%E -6.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-06 19:40
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-06 19:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-07-06 19:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-07-06 19:50
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.7%2026-07-06 19:50