The School of Odds

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery

2026-07-08 13:40 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Option 1: Flavio Cobolli (Local)

1.3275.76%Min
1.3574.27%Mean
1.3574.07%Median
1.3971.94%Max
68.81%1.453Min
71.27%1.403Max
70.35%1.421Mean
70.34%1.422Median
70.34%1.422IQM
70.42%1.420Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.39 under the IQM model: 70.34%

EV -2.23%Edge -1.60%Kelly -5.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arthur Fery (Visit)

3.0033.33%Min
3.2131.17%Mean
3.2330.96%Median
3.3729.67%Max
28.73%3.481Min
31.19%3.206Max
29.65%3.373Mean
29.66%3.371Median
29.66%3.371IQM
29.58%3.381Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.37 under the IQM model: 29.66%

EV -0.040%Edge -0.012%Kelly -0.017%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFlavio Cobolli (Local) ▼Arthur Fery (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.39I 71.94% NM 70.61%EV -2.23% E -1.60% K -5.72% G +0.000%3.34I 29.94% NM 29.39%EV -0.930% E -0.278% K -0.397% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 23:54
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99% NM 71.10%EV -3.64% E -2.65% K -9.83% G +0.000%3.37I 29.67% NM 28.90%EV -0.040% E -0.012% K -0.017% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 00:05
Coolbet1.37I 72.99% NM 70.97%EV -3.64% E -2.65% K -9.83% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 29.03%EV -0.633% E -0.189% K -0.270% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-07 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99% NM 70.35%EV -3.64% E -2.65% K -9.83% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.65%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:05
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 70.69%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.28I 30.49% NM 29.31%EV -2.71% E -0.826% K -1.19% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 23:50
Betway1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 05:35
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 09:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 00:09
BetAnything1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:54
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:05
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 05:25
BetUS1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53% NM 70.04%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 29.96%EV -5.68% E -1.78% K -2.60% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:08
Fanatics1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -6.57% E -2.08% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:05
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 22:05
Neds1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 05:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -4.34% E -3.19% K -12.06% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -11.02% E -3.67% K -5.51% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 17:05
DraftKings1.35I 74.07% NM 70.72%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.26I 30.67% NM 29.28%EV -3.30% E -1.01% K -1.46% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 05:20
Unibet1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
TABtouch1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
BetRivers1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Casumo1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 10:00
Bovada1.35I 74.07% NM 70.65%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.35%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:55
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07% NM 70.33%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.67%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 07:40
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.33%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.67%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 07:39
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.00%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.00%EV -6.57% E -2.08% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.00%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.00%EV -6.57% E -2.08% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 22:05
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.00%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.00%EV -6.57% E -2.08% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 22:04
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07% NM 70.00%EV -5.04% E -3.74% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.00%EV -6.57% E -2.08% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 22:05
SportsBet1.34I 74.63% NM 71.00%EV -5.75% E -4.29% K -16.90% G +0.000%3.28I 30.49% NM 29.00%EV -2.71% E -0.826% K -1.19% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:09
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63% NM 70.48%EV -5.75% E -4.29% K -16.90% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.52%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 00:00
TAB1.34I 74.63% NM 70.48%EV -5.75% E -4.29% K -16.90% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.52%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 01:09
NordicBet1.34I 74.63% NM 70.09%EV -5.75% E -4.29% K -16.90% G +0.000%3.14I 31.85% NM 29.91%EV -6.86% E -2.19% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63% NM 70.09%EV -5.75% E -4.29% K -16.90% G +0.000%3.14I 31.85% NM 29.91%EV -6.86% E -2.19% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:05
ReBet1.34I 74.63% NM 69.82%EV -5.75% E -4.29% K -16.90% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.18%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:05
888sport1.33I 75.19% NM 71.27%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -2.12% E -0.641% K -0.920% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 05:20
William Hill1.33I 75.19% NM 71.27%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -2.12% E -0.641% K -0.920% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 06:15
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19% NM 71.27%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -2.12% E -0.641% K -0.920% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 05:20
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19% NM 71.27%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -2.12% E -0.641% K -0.920% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 05:20
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 06:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 01:09
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 00:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 00:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -3.60% E -1.11% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19% NM 70.64%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.36%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19% NM 70.64%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.36%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19% NM 70.64%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.36%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 22:10
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19% NM 70.64%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.36%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 23:55
Everygame1.33I 75.19% NM 70.64%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.36%EV -5.08% E -1.59% K -2.31% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 23:50
Fliff1.33I 75.19% NM 70.31%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.69%EV -6.57% E -2.08% K -3.05% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 21:40
Coral1.33I 75.19% NM 69.98%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.02%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19% NM 69.98%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.02%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 05:25
Caesars1.33I 75.19% NM 69.98%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.02%EV -8.05% E -2.60% K -3.83% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 09:55
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19% NM 69.63%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 30.37%EV -9.53% E -3.13% K -4.65% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 22:05
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19% NM 69.28%EV -6.45% E -4.85% K -19.55% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.72%EV -11.02% E -3.67% K -5.51% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-07 18:55
GTbets1.32I 75.76% NM 70.86%EV -7.15% E -5.42% K -22.35% G +0.000%3.21I 31.15% NM 29.14%EV -4.79% E -1.49% K -2.17% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerFlavio Cobolli (Local)Arthur Fery (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41% NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43% NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41% NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43% NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41% NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43% NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41% NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-07 22:35
ProphetX1.39I 71.94% NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99% NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-07 23:50
Smarkets1.37I 72.99% NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57% NM 28.13%1.6%2026-07-07 23:45
Novig1.38I 72.46% NM 71.07%3.39I 29.50% NM 28.93%2.0%2026-07-08 00:45