Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 68.56%1.46fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fery (Visit)
Prediction 31.44%3.18fair odd
EV +6.88%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +0.197%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 14:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:02 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-08 13:57 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |