La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 68.56%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fery (Visitante)
Predicción 31.44%3.18momio equitativo
EV +6.88%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
Crecimiento +0.197%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 14:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 14:02 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-08 13:57 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 14:10 |