La scuola delle quote

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery

Inizio: 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 68.56%1.46quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fery (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.44%3.18quota equa
EV +6.88%
Vantaggio +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
Crescita +0.197%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197%2.9%2026-07-08 14:04
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%6.4%2026-07-08 14:05
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:03
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:04
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:09
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:04
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 14:09
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:09
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 14:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:02
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 14:10
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 13:57
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-08 14:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-07-08 14:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-07-08 14:10