مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery

البداية: 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.56%1.46السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fery (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.44%3.18السعر العادل
EV +6.88%
الأفضلية +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
النمو +0.197%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197%2.9%2026-07-08 14:04
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%6.4%2026-07-08 14:05
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:03
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:04
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:09
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:04
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 14:09
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:09
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 14:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:02
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 14:10
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 13:57
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-08 14:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-07-08 14:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-07-08 14:10