Die Wettquotenschule

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Heim)

Prognose 68.56%1.46faire Quote
EV -1.95%
Vorteil -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Fery (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.44%3.18faire Quote
EV +6.88%
Vorteil +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
Wachstum +0.197%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197%2.9%2026-07-08 14:04
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%6.4%2026-07-08 14:05
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:03
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:04
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:09
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:04
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 14:09
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:09
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 14:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:02
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 14:10
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 13:57
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-08 14:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-07-08 14:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-07-08 14:10