Szkoła Kursów

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery

Początek: 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.56%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -1.95%
Przewaga -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arthur Fery (Goście)

Prognoza 31.44%3.18kurs godziwy
EV +6.88%
Przewaga +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
Wzrost +0.197%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197%2.9%2026-07-08 14:04
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%6.4%2026-07-08 14:05
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:03
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:04
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:09
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:04
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 14:09
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:09
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 14:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:02
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 14:10
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 13:57
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-08 14:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-07-08 14:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-07-08 14:10