默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fery

开赛时间: 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Flavio Cobolli (主队)

预测 68.56%1.46公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
67.06%68.81%68.52%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.99%73.53%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arthur Fery (客队)

预测 31.44%3.18公平赔率
EV +6.88%
优势 +2.02%
Kelly +2.87%
增长率 +0.197%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.57%31.19%31.48%32.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.26%32.26%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Flavio Cobolli (主队):68.56%;Arthur Fery (客队):31.44%。 对于“Arthur Fery (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.18。 当时有22家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.40,对应+6.88%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +6.88%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.197%2.9%2026-07-08 14:04
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%4.4%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.74%E +1.13%K +1.63%G +0.061%5.5%2026-07-08 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.667%K +0.964%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV +0.912%E +0.284%K +0.412%G +0.004%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.597%E +0.187%K +0.271%G +0.002%6.4%2026-07-08 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.975%E -0.309%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 14:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:05
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 14:04
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:09
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:05
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.55%E -0.821%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:04
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -1.95%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -3.49%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 14:09
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.75%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 14:10
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:05
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:05
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:02
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -9.15%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 13:57
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-08 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-08 14:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-07-08 14:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-08 14:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-07-08 14:10