语言:简体中文
Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Denis Shapovalov (主队)
预测 69.36%1.44公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)
预测 30.64%3.26公平赔率
EV +7.24%
优势 +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
增长率 +0.210%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Denis Shapovalov (主队)：69.36%；Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)：30.64%。 对于“Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.26。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.50，对应+7.24%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 09:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |