La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 69.36%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)
Predicción 30.64%3.26momio equitativo
EV +7.24%
Ventaja +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
Crecimiento +0.210%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 09:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |