مدرسة الاحتمالات

Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta

البداية: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.36%1.44السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.64%3.26السعر العادل
EV +7.24%
الأفضلية +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
النمو +0.210%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:46
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 09:49
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 09:58
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%3.0%2026-06-29 10:00