Szkoła Kursów

Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta

Początek: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 69.36%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Goście)

Prognoza 30.64%3.26kurs godziwy
EV +7.24%
Przewaga +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
Wzrost +0.210%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:46
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 09:49
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 09:58
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%3.0%2026-06-29 10:00