Język:Polski
Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 69.36%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Pablo Carreno Busta (Goście)
Prognoza 30.64%3.26kurs godziwy
EV +7.24%
Przewaga +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
Wzrost +0.210%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze): 69.36%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Goście): 30.64%. Dla wyniku Pablo Carreno Busta (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.26. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +7.24%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 09:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |