Die Wettquotenschule

Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Heim)

Prognose 69.36%1.44faire Quote
EV -1.51%
Vorteil -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.64%3.26faire Quote
EV +7.24%
Vorteil +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
Wachstum +0.210%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:46
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 09:49
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 09:58
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%3.0%2026-06-29 10:00