La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Denis Shapovalov (Casa)
Previsione 69.36%1.44quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -3.59%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.74%69.35%69.57%72.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.20%73.53%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.64%3.26quota equa
EV +7.24%
Vantaggio +2.07%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescita +0.210%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%30.65%30.43%33.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.083.103.5035.09%32.47%32.26%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.24%E +2.07%K +2.90%G +0.210% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.419%E -0.129%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.98%E -3.63%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.610%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.26%E -0.708%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.56%E -0.806%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 09:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.20%E -1.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.14%E -6.98%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |