赔率学院

Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley

开赛时间: 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Alex Michelsen (主队)

预测 58.13%1.72公平赔率
EV -0.592%
优势 -0.346%
Kelly -0.833%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
56.10%58.12%58.13%60.35%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.13%60.98%58.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

Jacob Fearnley (客队)

预测 41.87%2.39公平赔率
EV +1.32%
优势 +0.544%
Kelly +0.927%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
39.65%41.88%41.87%43.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.162.262.252.4246.30%44.28%44.44%41.32%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +1.32%E +0.544%K +0.927%G +0.012%4.2%2026-06-30 11:15
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.479%E +0.200%K +0.342%G +0.002%3.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.61%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 11:19
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 11:18
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:19
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:20
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:20
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:19
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:19
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:19
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:19
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.592%E -0.346%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:19
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-30 11:20
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-06-30 11:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-30 11:18
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-30 11:20