L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 58.13%1.72cote équitable
EV -0.592%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.833%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.10%58.12%58.13%60.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.13%60.98%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.87%2.39cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.927%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 2.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.65%41.88%41.87%43.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.262.252.4246.30%44.28%44.44%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +1.32%E +0.544%K +0.927%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.479%E +0.200%K +0.342%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.61%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ReBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.592%E -0.346%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |