مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Alex Michelsen (المضيف)
التنبؤ 58.13%1.72السعر العادل
EV -0.592%
الأفضلية -0.346%
Kelly -0.833%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.10%58.12%58.13%60.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.13%60.98%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Jacob Fearnley (الضيف)
التنبؤ 41.87%2.39السعر العادل
EV +1.32%
الأفضلية +0.544%
Kelly +0.927%
النمو +0.012%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.42
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.65%41.88%41.87%43.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.162.262.252.4246.30%44.28%44.44%41.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +1.32%E +0.544%K +0.927%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.479%E +0.200%K +0.342%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.61%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ReBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.592%E -0.346%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |