Lingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 58.13%1.72quota equa
EV -0.592%
Vantaggio -0.346%
Kelly -0.833%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.10%58.12%58.13%60.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.13%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Jacob Fearnley (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.87%2.39quota equa
EV +1.32%
Vantaggio +0.544%
Kelly +0.927%
Crescita +0.012%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.65%41.88%41.87%43.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.262.252.4246.30%44.28%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 58.13%; Jacob Fearnley (Trasferta): 41.87%. Per Jacob Fearnley (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.39. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.42, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.32%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +1.32%E +0.544%K +0.927%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.479%E +0.200%K +0.342%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.61%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.592%E -0.346%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |