Szkoła Kursów

Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley

Początek: 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.13%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -0.592%
Przewaga -0.346%
Kelly -0.833%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.10%58.12%58.13%60.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.13%60.98%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jacob Fearnley (Goście)

Prognoza 41.87%2.39kurs godziwy
EV +1.32%
Przewaga +0.544%
Kelly +0.927%
Wzrost +0.012%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.65%41.88%41.87%43.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.162.262.252.4246.30%44.28%44.44%41.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +1.32%E +0.544%K +0.927%G +0.012%4.2%2026-06-30 11:15
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.479%E +0.200%K +0.342%G +0.002%3.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.61%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 11:19
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 11:18
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:19
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:19
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:20
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:20
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:19
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:19
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:19
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:20
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:19
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:19
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.592%E -0.346%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:19
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-30 11:20
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-06-30 11:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-30 11:18
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-30 11:20