Sprache:Deutsch
Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Alex Michelsen (Heim)
Prognose 58.13%1.72faire Quote
EV -0.592%
Vorteil -0.346%
Kelly -0.833%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.71
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.10%58.12%58.13%60.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.13%60.98%58.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Jacob Fearnley (Auswärts)
Prognose 41.87%2.39faire Quote
EV +1.32%
Vorteil +0.544%
Kelly +0.927%
Wachstum +0.012%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.42
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.65%41.88%41.87%43.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.162.262.252.4246.30%44.28%44.44%41.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 58.13%; Jacob Fearnley (Auswärts): 41.87%. Für Jacob Fearnley (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.39. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.42 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.32%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +1.32%E +0.544%K +0.927%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.479%E +0.200%K +0.342%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.61%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.38%E -2.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.24%E -3.22%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.592%E -0.346%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |