赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti

开赛时间： 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Matteo Arnaldi (主队)

预测 40.96%2.44公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -0.707%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.70%40.96%40.96%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.312.4045.45%43.37%43.29%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lorenzo Musetti (客队)

预测 59.04%1.69公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.840%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%59.04%59.04%60.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.48%62.70%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Matteo Arnaldi (主队)：40.96%；Lorenzo Musetti (客队)：59.04%。 对于“Lorenzo Musetti (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.69。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.67，期望值为-1.40%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.70%E -0.707%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 16:25
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 11:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 11:05
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 13:55
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 10:35
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:55
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 16:45
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 11:20
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 01:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 03:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 10:35
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.43%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:21
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:55
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 10:09
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.07%E -4.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 16:51
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-07-27 16:55