Idioma:Português
Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Previsão 40.96%2.44odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.707%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.70%40.96%40.96%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.312.4045.45%43.37%43.29%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Previsão 59.04%1.69odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.840%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.04%59.04%60.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.48%62.70%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Arnaldi (Local): 40.96%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 59.04%. Para Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.67, com valor esperado de -1.40%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.70%E -0.707%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.43%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.07%E -4.09%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |