Die Wettquotenschule

Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)

Prognose 41.98%2.38faire Quote
EV +0.755%
Vorteil +0.314%
Kelly +0.539%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%41.94%41.85%43.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.292.282.4045.45%43.62%43.86%41.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.02%1.72faire Quote
EV -0.788%
Vorteil -0.461%
Kelly -1.11%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.27%58.06%58.15%60.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.551.621.621.7164.52%61.81%61.92%58.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.755%E +0.314%K +0.539%G +0.004%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.75%E -4.87%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 06:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.33%E -5.27%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:25
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:24
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:26
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:24
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 06:25
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 04:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 04:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 01:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.75%E -4.87%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 03:00
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 04:25
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:00
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 04:59
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -7.75%E -4.87%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 04:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 03:30
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 03:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 05:29
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 04:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 02:35
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 06:25
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.788%E -0.461%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 02:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 04:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 04:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 04:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-27 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-27 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-27 07:31
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-27 07:30