Sprache:Deutsch
Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)
Prognose 40.96%2.44faire Quote
EV -1.70%
Vorteil -0.707%
Kelly -1.21%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.70%40.96%40.96%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.312.312.4045.45%43.37%43.29%41.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)
Prognose 59.04%1.69faire Quote
EV -1.40%
Vorteil -0.840%
Kelly -2.09%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%59.04%59.04%60.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.48%62.70%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Matteo Arnaldi (Heim): 40.96%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 59.04%. Für Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.69. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.67, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.40%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.70%E -0.707%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.43%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.07%E -4.09%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |