The School of Odds

Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Hemma)

Prognos 41.98%2.38rättvist odds
EV +0.755%
Fördel +0.314%
Kelly +0.539%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%41.94%41.85%43.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.202.292.282.4045.45%43.62%43.86%41.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 58.02%1.72rättvist odds
EV -0.788%
Fördel -0.461%
Kelly -1.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.27%58.06%58.15%60.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.551.621.621.7164.52%61.81%61.92%58.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.755%E +0.314%K +0.539%G +0.004%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.75%E -4.87%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 06:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.33%E -5.27%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:25
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:24
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:26
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:24
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:25
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 06:25
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 04:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 04:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 01:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.75%E -4.87%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 03:00
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 04:25
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:00
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 04:59
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -7.75%E -4.87%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 04:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 03:30
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 03:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 05:29
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 04:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 02:35
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 06:25
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.788%E -0.461%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 02:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 04:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 04:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 04:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-07-27 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-27 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-27 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-27 07:31
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-27 07:30