Språk:Svenska
Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Matteo Arnaldi (Hemma)
Prognos 40.96%2.44rättvist odds
EV -1.70%
Fördel -0.707%
Kelly -1.21%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.70%40.96%40.96%43.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.312.312.4045.45%43.37%43.29%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)
Prognos 59.04%1.69rättvist odds
EV -1.40%
Fördel -0.840%
Kelly -2.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.85%59.04%59.04%60.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.48%62.70%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Matteo Arnaldi (Hemma): 40.96%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 59.04%. För Lorenzo Musetti (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.69. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.67, med väntevärdet -1.40%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.
Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.70%E -0.707%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.43%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.07%E -4.09%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |