StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Matteo Arnaldi v Lorenzo Musetti

Aanvang: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

60 wedaanbieders (18 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Matteo Arnaldi (Thuis)

Prognose 40.96%2.44margevrije odds
EV -1.70%
Voordeel -0.707%
Kelly -1.21%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.40

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
39.70%40.96%40.96%43.15%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.202.312.312.4045.45%43.37%43.29%41.67%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Uit)

Prognose 59.04%1.69margevrije odds
EV -1.40%
Voordeel -0.840%
Kelly -2.09%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.67

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
56.85%59.04%59.04%60.30%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.48%62.70%59.88%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Matteo Arnaldi (Thuis): 40.96%; Lorenzo Musetti (Uit): 59.04%. Voor Lorenzo Musetti (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 1.69. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 1.67, met een verwachtingswaarde van -1.40%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (60 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.70%E -0.707%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 16:25
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 11:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 11:05
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 13:55
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 10:35
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:55
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 10:35
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 16:45
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 11:20
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 01:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 03:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 10:35
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.43%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:21
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:55
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 10:09
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.07%E -4.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 16:51
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.840%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-07-27 16:55