The School of Odds

Kamil Majchrzak v Tommy Paul

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.390%
Kelly +0.538%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.94%27.96%29.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6332.26%29.80%29.85%27.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tommy Paul (Visit)

Prediction 72.06%1.39fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -12.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.45%72.06%72.04%73.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3378.13%75.89%75.76%75.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +1.42%E +0.390%K +0.538%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 01:40
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.820%E -0.231%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:50
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.22%E -0.633%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 01:55
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.22%E -0.633%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:20
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:05
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:05
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:10
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 02:00
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 05:55
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 03:21
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 03:00
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:40
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:55
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 03:10
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:50
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:40
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:35
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 03:25
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 02:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 01:55
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 05:20
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 07:09
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 03:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.00%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 03:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-27 04:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-07-27 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-07-27 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-07-27 06:55
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-07-27 06:55