Język:Polski
Kamil Majchrzak v Tommy Paul
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Kamil Majchrzak (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 23.96%4.17kurs godziwy
EV +1.61%
Przewaga +0.379%
Kelly +0.496%
Wzrost +0.008%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.24
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.63%24.05%23.81%26.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.903.954.2428.57%25.65%25.32%23.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tommy Paul (Goście)
Prognoza 76.04%1.32kurs godziwy
EV -1.91%
Przewaga -1.48%
Kelly -6.60%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.07%75.95%76.19%77.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.05%80.00%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Kamil Majchrzak (Gospodarze): 23.96%; Tommy Paul (Goście): 76.04%. Dla wyniku Kamil Majchrzak (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.17. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.24, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.61%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +0.887%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:57 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.86%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 03:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.48%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.91%E -1.48%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |