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Kamil Majchrzak v Tommy Paul
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Kamil Majchrzak (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.96%4.17справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.61%
Преимущество +0.379%
Kelly +0.496%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.24
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.63%24.05%23.81%26.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.903.954.2428.57%25.65%25.32%23.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tommy Paul (Гости)
Прогноз 76.04%1.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.91%
Преимущество -1.48%
Kelly -6.60%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.07%75.95%76.19%77.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.05%80.00%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Kamil Majchrzak (Хозяева): 23.96%; Tommy Paul (Гости): 76.04%. Для исхода «Kamil Majchrzak (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.17. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.24, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.61%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +0.887%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:57 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.86%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 03:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.48%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.91%E -1.48%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |